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Wednesday Bitcoin Breakdown
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Bitcoin Is Holding the Uptrend, but the Derivatives Say This Isn't a Bull Market Yet
Bitcoin shrugs off the Liquid exploit, and the derivatives market explains why this uptrend is not a bull market yet
Sep 9
•
Johan Bergman
27
29
Bitcoin Is Up 20% in 30 Days, and Three Datapoints Say Consolidation Before the Next Leg
The 2023 template says months of rallies and consolidations towards $90,000
Sep 2
•
Johan Bergman
33
5
1
Bitcoin's Trend Just Flipped for the First Time Since September 2025
Eleven months in the red, and the framework just flipped to uptrend
Aug 27
•
Johan Bergman
21
3
Bitcoin Is Stuck At $64,000
Priced for Silence: Institutional exposure rises, hedge funds hedge, and the volatility complex prices a silence it is unlikely to get
Aug 19
•
Johan Bergman
22
2
4
Grinding At The Bottom
The three events that are causing fear in bitcoin right now
Aug 12
•
Johan Bergman
29
2
1
Bitcoin Is Grinding Sideways, but the On-Chain Data Says a Lower Low Is Unlikely
Derivatives tell you where the market might go. On-chain tells you how people behaved because of it.
Jul 29
•
Johan Bergman
29
3
5
Bulls Are Bracing for $45,000 While the Data Says It's Becoming Less Likely
Our framework was never fitted to psychology, yet it lands exactly where your timeline does
Jul 22
•
Johan Bergman
25
5
1
Bitcoin Defended $64,000, and $70,000 Is Where the Framework Flips Green
Volatility at the 3rd percentile, morale returning, and why $70,000 is the level that could turn it green
Jul 15
•
Johan Bergman
22
Bitcoin's $58,000 Bounce Is Real but the Options Market Won't Confirm It
Lower leverage, modest yields, and a market that quietly gave up on faces getting ripped
Jul 8
•
Johan Bergman
30
7
2
Bitcoin at $58,000: hold or break
Deep in the 5th percentile, the market is testing to see whether Strategy, and the bottom, can take it
Jul 1
•
Johan Bergman
26
2
2
The Levels Bitcoin Needs to Reclaim Just Dropped Toward $70,000
Dynamic trend levels are coming down, but the bear-market work is not finished yet.
Jun 24
•
Johan Bergman
24
6
2
Strategy Doesn’t Have to Unwind for Bitcoin to Recover
A fair look at Strategy's metric wars, STRC trading below par and what management can improve
Jun 17
•
Johan Bergman
37
3
1
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