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Global Macro Update: The Dollar Squeeze Choking Bitcoin

Continued discussion on the dollar squeeze, renewed oil worries, and the bear flattener.

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Macro Update

Here are this video’s topics of discussion:

  • I start with bitcoin on price alone before any narrative, then lay out both the bullish and bearish technical case for where we sit.

  • I then turn to the dollar and what is really driving the tightness in TBL Liquidity land, and the lens I am using to make sense of it.

  • We move through the pressure points around the world, from India to Japan and Korea, and how oil, rates, and the war tie together.

  • I get into what the yield curve and two-year yields are signaling, and what that means for the rate path from here.

  • I close on Michael Howell’s cycle theory, the regulatory picture, and where bitcoin fits in all of it, including a research direction we are exploring at TBL.


Okay, on to today’s 42-minute video and TLDR summary.

If you prefer watching these videos on YouTube, we have attached the YouTube link under the TL;DR Section.

Video’s TL;DR

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